Gulf sealed tight

Wednesday 29 April 2026

First things first. UAE has left OPEC so that it can produce more oil so that when the crisis is over, it can repair damage.

This leaves Saudi as the only OPEC member willing to cut production meaningfully in normal times.

OPEC is done. This will lower long-term prices.

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About the author

David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.